Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.56/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.04
-25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
06.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
17.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United nicked a narrow win over Newington Youth 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.67 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 51%, draw 25%, Newington Youth 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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