Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.49
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
06.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
17.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth edged past Ballinamallard United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Newington Youth made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Newington Youth and 2.20 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 40%, draw 23%, Ballinamallard United 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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