Ballinamallard United 3-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.33/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.75/1.51
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
12.04.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.02.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
23.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
06.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Newington Youth shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newington Youth at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.83 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Ballinamallard United 3-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 32%, draw 28%, Newington Youth 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newington Youth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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