Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 27% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 31%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
2.70/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.83
+38% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
23.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
06.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
17.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth squeezed past Ballinamallard United 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newington Youth and 2.17 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 50%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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