Ards FC 1-1 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.33/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.80
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Limavady United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.02.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.11.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
10.08.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Limavady United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Limavady United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ards FC and 0.00 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Limavady United?

Ards FC 1-1 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 30%, draw 24%, Limavady United 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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