Newington Youth 4-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
31%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.11/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.79
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.02.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
23.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 2-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
06.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
17.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth cruised past Ballinamallard United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newington Youth and 2.17 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Newington Youth 4-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 46%, draw 19%, Ballinamallard United 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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