Okzhetpes 2-1 Ulytau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.8pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.5pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulytau EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.39
+84% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulytau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.07.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulytau KAZP
19.04.2025 Ulytau 0-1 HT 0-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Ulytau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes nicked a narrow win over Ulytau 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Okzhetpes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Okzhetpes had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Okzhetpes and 0.00 for Ulytau.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Ulytau?

Okzhetpes 2-1 Ulytau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Ulytau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Okzhetpes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 44%, draw 35%, Ulytau 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Okzhetpes) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Okzhetpes) ✗ Under 2.5
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