Aktobe 1-4 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.67/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.28
+27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10.08.2025 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
11.05.2025 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
31.08.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
19.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey swept aside Aktobe 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aktobe and 1.50 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?

Aktobe 1-4 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 48%, draw 26%, Yelimay Semey 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aktobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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