Yelimay Semey 2-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.3pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 36%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.11/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.17
-15% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
11.05.2025 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
31.08.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
19.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey edged past Aktobe 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Yelimay Semey and 1.40 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 43%, draw 22%, Aktobe 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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