Trencin 3-1 Ruzomberok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.19
-16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.8 Crosses 20.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ruzomberok
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 189
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
13.09.2025 Trencin Trencin 0-3 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
10.05.2025 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 1-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
12.04.2025 Trencin Trencin 2-2 HT 1-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
09.11.2024 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
11.08.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 1-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
3-1
AWAY Ruzomberok
1.84 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
320 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Ruzomberok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin beat Ruzomberok 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Trencin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trencin had 56% of the ball to Ruzomberok's 44%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.84 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruzomberok led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trencin and 1.17 for Ruzomberok.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Ruzomberok?

Trencin 3-1 Ruzomberok in the Slovakia Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Ruzomberok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruzomberok win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trencin 34%, draw 29%, Ruzomberok 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruzomberok), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruzomberok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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