Krsko 2-2 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
65%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
65%
Away Win
61%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krsko EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 66%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.68/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/0.54
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krsko
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bistrica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Bistrica Bistrica 6-0 HT 3-0 Krsko Krsko SLVN2
18.03.2023 Krsko Krsko 2-2 HT 2-2 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
04.09.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 2-1 HT 1-0 Krsko Krsko SLVN2
POST-MATCH Krsko vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krsko and Bistrica shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bistrica at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bistrica led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Krsko and 3.33 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Krsko vs Bistrica?

Krsko 2-2 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krsko vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Krsko 16%, draw 20%, Bistrica 65%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bistrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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