Rudar Velenje 2-3 NK Brinje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.60/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.18
+61% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
200 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
3W-0D-3L
AWAY NK Brinje
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2025 NK Brinje NK Brinje 4-2 HT 2-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
08.03.2025 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-0 HT 0-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
25.08.2024 NK Brinje NK Brinje 2-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
06.04.2024 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-2 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
21.09.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-0 HT 1-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
18.03.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
2-3
AWAY NK Brinje
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje nicked a narrow win over Rudar Velenje 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 45% of the ball to NK Brinje's 55%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rudar Velenje and 1.17 for NK Brinje.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs NK Brinje?

Rudar Velenje 2-3 NK Brinje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs NK Brinje?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 30%, draw 23%, NK Brinje 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✓ BTTS Yes
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