Henan Jianye 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.15
X/2
7%
8.2
X/X
18%
4.15
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
7%
6.68
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.01/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.94
-41% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
15.1 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.54 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
286 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 55% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.54 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Henan Jianye 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 47%, draw 31%, Qingdao Jonoon 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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