Valencia (K) 3-0 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.61/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.53
+150% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.0 Crosses 12.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
3-0
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
2.43 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
244 Passes 259
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia (K) cruised past Real Sociedad (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Valencia (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 49% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 51%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.43 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Valencia (K) 3-0 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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