Villarreal (K) 1-2 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
46%
-13.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
Crosses 18.7
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.81 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
320 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 23
20.01.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal (K) Villarreal (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal (K)
1-2
AWAY Sevilla (K)
0.61 xG 2.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
239 Passes 334
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) edged past Villarreal (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sevilla (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Villarreal (K) had 45% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 55%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.61 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sevilla (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Villarreal (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Villarreal (K) 1-2 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Villarreal (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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