St. Pauli II 1-2 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.49
No
54%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.8pp
54%
BTTS No
37%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.29/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.90
-13% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.10.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
17.08.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-1 HT 2-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
12.09.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
01.03.2020 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-0 HT 2-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel squeezed past St. Pauli II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Drochtersen / Assel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.33 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

St. Pauli II 1-2 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 32%, draw 29%, Drochtersen / Assel 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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