Pas de la Casa 1-2 Atletic Club DEscaldes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
61%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
3.34
No
49%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
11%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
15%
+10.7pp
61%
Away Win
74%
-12.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
26%
+25.2pp
49%
BTTS No
74%
-25.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes EU Bookmakers 78%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.44/2.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.43
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +21%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Pas de la Casa 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
17.09.2023 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 1-1 HT 0-0 Pas de la Casa AND
15.01.2023 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 0-3 HT 2-0 Pas de la Casa ANDK
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs Atletic Club DEscaldes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Club DEscaldes squeezed past Pas de la Casa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletic Club DEscaldes as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pas de la Casa and 1.00 for Atletic Club DEscaldes.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Pas de la Casa 1-2 Atletic Club DEscaldes in the Andorra - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletic Club DEscaldes win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 13%, draw 25%, Atletic Club DEscaldes 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletic Club DEscaldes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletic Club DEscaldes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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