Penya Encarnada 2-4 FC Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 71%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.09/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.42/0.39
+40% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
1W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
14.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma ANDK
08.10.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 0-1 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
05.02.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 3-2 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
09.10.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Santa Coloma got the better of Penya Encarnada 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penya Encarnada and 1.80 for FC Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma?

Penya Encarnada 2-4 FC Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 20%, draw 23%, FC Santa Coloma 57%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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