Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

Estudiantes
3-0 HT 1-0
Barracas Central
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Barracas Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
12%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.1
X/1
17%
3.7
X/2
6%
10.9
X/X
14%
5.03
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
9.05
2/X
5%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Barracas Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.64/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.24
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
25.1 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Estudiantes vs Barracas Central Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.05 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
328 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 5-2 HT 3-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
11.05.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
21.07.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
17.04.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-6 HT 1-4 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
3-0
AWAY Barracas Central
3.23 xG 0.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
387 Passes 290
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes cruised past Barracas Central 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Estudiantes had 56% of the ball to Barracas Central's 44%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.23 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Estudiantes and 1.25 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Barracas Central?

Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 51%, draw 27%, Barracas Central 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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