Godoy Cruz 1-2 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
5.95
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
11%
4.77
X/2
15%
5.75
X/X
14%
3.46
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.77
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.13
+19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.1 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 372
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-1 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
30.07.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
17.04.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
30.08.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
10.01.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-2 HT 2-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
05.03.2020 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
1-2
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.53 xG 2.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
280 Passes 165
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield edged past Godoy Cruz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 59% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 41%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.53 to 2.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Velez Sarsfield's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Godoy Cruz and 1.33 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Velez Sarsfield?

Godoy Cruz 1-2 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 40%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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