Perth Glory vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Western United — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Western United
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Western United
AVUS
6-0
HT 4-0
Perth Glory
AVUS
0-2
HT 0-1
Western United
AVUS
Perth Glory 3-4 Western United — Actual Match Statistics
Western United nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Western United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Perth Glory had 53% of the ball to Western United's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.06 to 2.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Perth Glory and 2.33 for Western United.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Western United?
Perth Glory 3-4 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Western United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 38%, draw 24%, Western United 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.