LASK Linz 1-3 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

LASK Linz
1-3 HT 0-2
Hartberg
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

LASK Linz vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
21%
4.14
X/2
10%
8.52
X/X
17%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.57
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.66
-30% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.5 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

LASK Linz vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
348 Passes 229
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.09.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
19.03.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
08.10.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-3 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
07.05.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-3 HT 2-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
20.03.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

LASK Linz 1-3 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
1-3
AWAY Hartberg
0.78 xG 1.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
456 Passes 216
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg got the better of LASK Linz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 65% of the ball to Hartberg's 35%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for LASK Linz and 1.33 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

LASK Linz 1-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 46%, draw 29%, Hartberg 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024
18:00 Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt Analysis →