Salzburg 4-2 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.7
X/1
23%
3.39
X/2
6%
18.7
X/X
9%
7.5
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
15.0
2/X
8%
23.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-13.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
2.58/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.02
+26% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +15%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
431 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 65%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.1 Crosses 12.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 205
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
08.10.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
28.05.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 0-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
02.04.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.11.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
20.08.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
4-2
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
4.82 xG 1.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
408 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg got the better of Austria Klagenfurt 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg had 62% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 38%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 4.82 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Salzburg and 0.67 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Salzburg 4-2 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 58%, draw 23%, Austria Klagenfurt 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5
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