Salzburg 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.6
X/1
21%
3.35
X/2
5%
20.6
X/X
9%
7.35
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
9%
17.1
2/X
5%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-10.7pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
2.57/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.19
+21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.0 Crosses 13.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.09 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
28.05.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 0-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
02.04.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.11.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
20.08.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
21.05.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
1-0
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.57 xG 0.13
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
433 Passes 139
78% Pass Accuracy 52%
34 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg nicked a narrow win over Austria Klagenfurt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg had 68% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 32%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.57 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salzburg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Salzburg and 0.83 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Salzburg 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 61%, draw 19%, Austria Klagenfurt 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
3 Mar 2024
19:00 Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →
19:00 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien Analysis →
19:00 Swarovski Tirol vs Hartberg Analysis →
19:00 Rheindorf Altach vs LASK Linz Analysis →
19:00 Rapid Wien vs Austria Lustenau Analysis →