Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

Blau-Weiss Linz
1-2 HT 1-2
Austria Wien
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
11%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.89
1/2
14%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
11%
4.72
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blau-Weiss Linz v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.11/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.19
-44% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
10.7 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.64 xG 3.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
178 Passes 433
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 4-0 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1-2
AWAY Austria Wien
1.32 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
277 Passes 348
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien squeezed past Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 47% of the ball to Austria Wien's 53%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.32 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien?

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 34%, draw 26%, Austria Wien 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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