Swarovski Tirol vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swarovski Tirol v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals
Swarovski Tirol vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
5-0
HT 4-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
1-1
HT 1-0
Hartberg
AVU
1-5
HT 1-2
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
2-1
HT 1-1
Hartberg
AVU
4-2
HT 1-0
Hartberg
AVU
Swarovski Tirol 1-0 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics
Swarovski Tirol edged past Hartberg 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Hartberg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 43% of the ball to Hartberg's 57%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.38 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Swarovski Tirol's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 2.17 for Hartberg.
What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Hartberg?
Swarovski Tirol 1-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Hartberg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 24%, draw 33%, Hartberg 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.