Rapid Wien 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.78
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.32
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
30.0
X/1
22%
3.42
X/2
4%
30.0
X/X
8%
10.1
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
6%
23.15
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.7pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.26/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.19
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
433 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
23.7 Crosses 8.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.84 xG 1.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
336 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-5 HT 0-3 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
29.10.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-3 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
07.08.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
08.03.2006 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-1
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.21 xG 0.27
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
517 Passes 145
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rapid Wien at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 73% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 27%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.21 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.25 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Austria Lustenau?

Rapid Wien 1-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 66%, draw 20%, Austria Lustenau 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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