Neman Grodno 0-1 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
2.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.35
+6% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vitebsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
05.03.2023 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
12.11.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
16.07.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
18.07.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
14.03.2021 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
0-1
AWAY Vitebsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past Neman Grodno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Neman Grodno carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 58% of the ball to Vitebsk's 42%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Neman Grodno and 1.00 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk?

Neman Grodno 0-1 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 61%, draw 20%, Vitebsk 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Neman Grodno), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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