Polokwane City 2-2 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.44
Over 2.5
45%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
6.41
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
66%
-10.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
34%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
0.66/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.08
-32% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.0 Crosses 17.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cape Town City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
06.08.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
16.02.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 3-2 HT 2-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
06.11.2019 Cape Town City Cape Town City 5-3 HT 3-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
2-2
AWAY Cape Town City
1.50 xG 1.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
220 Passes 342
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City and Cape Town City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cape Town City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polokwane City had 43% of the ball to Cape Town City's 57%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.50 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cape Town City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Polokwane City and 2.67 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Cape Town City?

Polokwane City 2-2 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 29%, draw 31%, Cape Town City 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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