Richards Bay 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.83
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 38%
-20% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.80/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.99
-42% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
24.2 Crosses 21.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
04.03.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
20.08.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
07.02.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
1-0
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.94 xG 1.46
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
229 Passes 436
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay edged past Kaizer Chiefs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Richards Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Richards Bay had 37% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 63%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.46 — on chances, Kaizer Chiefs could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Richards Bay and 1.00 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Richards Bay 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 33%, draw 36%, Kaizer Chiefs 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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