Gagra 0-1 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-11.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 60%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.77/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.96
-32% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
207 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dila Gori
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.11.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.09.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
09.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
01.10.2022 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-1
AWAY Dila Gori
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori squeezed past Gagra 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gagra had 42% of the ball to Dila Gori's 58%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gagra and 0.67 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dila Gori?

Gagra 0-1 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gagra 29%, draw 28%, Dila Gori 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →