Zhetysu 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-12.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.07/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.66
-29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-3 HT 0-2 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
24.06.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-1 HT 0-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
30.07.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 4-2 HT 2-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
24.07.2022 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
12.09.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 3-1 HT 3-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
29.04.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu edged past Shakhter Karagandy 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Zhetysu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhter Karagandy led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zhetysu and 1.83 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Zhetysu 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 35%, draw 33%, Shakhter Karagandy 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhetysu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhetysu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
21 Apr 2024
14:30 FC Astana vs Tobol Analysis →