Auda 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.0pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.62/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.34
-2% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 68%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.6 Crosses 11.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.72 xG 1.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
462 Passes 252
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
12.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
06.06.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
24.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.10.2022 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
18.07.2022 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
2-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.22 xG 0.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
426 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auda vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda saw off FK Tukums 2000 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Auda had 62% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 38%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.22 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Auda and 1.33 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Auda 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Auda 57%, draw 25%, FK Tukums 2000 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5
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