Metta / LU Riga 1-2 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Apr 2024

Metta / LU Riga
1-2 HT 0-1
Riga FC
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.81
No
55%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.2pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.8pp
62%
Away Win
81%
-19.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.8pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metta / LU Riga v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
0.86/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/0.67
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +52%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
226 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 50.7
13.4 Crosses 35.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.73 xG 3.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
236 Passes 356
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 59
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga HAZ
05.11.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
13.08.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
04.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
25.04.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
22.10.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET

Metta / LU Riga 1-2 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-2
AWAY Riga FC
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC squeezed past Metta / LU Riga 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 34% of the ball to Riga FC's 66%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.17 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC?

Metta / LU Riga 1-2 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 18%, draw 20%, Riga FC 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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