Kano Pillars 4-0 Gombe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Apr 2024

Kano Pillars
4-0 HT 3-0
Gombe United
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Kano Pillars vs Gombe United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.0
Over 2.5
37%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.16
No
71%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
71%
+1.7pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.6pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
46%
+16.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
54%
-16.6pp
29%
BTTS Yes
42%
-12.8pp
71%
BTTS No
58%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kano Pillars v Gombe United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Gombe United EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.33/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.28
-26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Kano Pillars vs Gombe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars cruised past Gombe United 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kano Pillars as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (71%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Kano Pillars vs Gombe United?

Kano Pillars 4-0 Gombe United in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kano Pillars vs Gombe United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kano Pillars win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Kano Pillars 73%, draw 17%, Gombe United 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kano Pillars), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kano Pillars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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