Sunshine Stars 1-1 Enyimba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.2pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Enyimba EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.16/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.43
-12% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Enyimba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.08.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 1-1 HT 0-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
22.03.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunshine Stars
1-1
AWAY Enyimba
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Enyimba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Enyimba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Stars at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Sunshine Stars had 58% of the ball to Enyimba's 42%, shots finished 21-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Enyimba led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sunshine Stars and 1.00 for Enyimba.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Enyimba?

Sunshine Stars 1-1 Enyimba in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Enyimba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 47%, draw 28%, Enyimba 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunshine Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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