Grorud IL 4-1 Tromsdalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
2.12/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.05
+13% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grorud IL
4-1
AWAY Tromsdalen
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grorud IL vs Tromsdalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grorud IL ran out comfortable winners over Tromsdalen 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Grorud IL as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Grorud IL had 47% of the ball to Tromsdalen's 53%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Grorud IL vs Tromsdalen?

Grorud IL 4-1 Tromsdalen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grorud IL vs Tromsdalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grorud IL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Grorud IL 50%, draw 23%, Tromsdalen 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grorud IL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grorud IL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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