Jerv 2-1 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

Jerv
2-1 HT 1-0
Hodd
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +71%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hodd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
23.09.2023 Hodd Hodd 2-2 HT 1-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
29.05.2023 Jerv Jerv 2-1 HT 0-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
25.09.2016 Hodd Hodd 0-2 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
19.06.2016 Jerv Jerv 5-1 HT 4-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
08.11.2015 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
12.08.2015 Jerv Jerv 0-1 HT 0-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv nicked a narrow win over Hodd 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jerv and 1.00 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Hodd?

Jerv 2-1 Hodd in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jerv 41%, draw 28%, Hodd 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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