Cracovia Krakow 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.39
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
10%
4.0
X/2
12%
8.62
X/X
10%
4.5
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
6.99
2/X
9%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.47
-17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
25.5 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.50 xG 0.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
367 Passes 120
81% Pass Accuracy 58%
17 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
21.10.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
13.01.2018 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-2 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
0-1
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
0.62 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
334 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice nicked a narrow win over Cracovia Krakow 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 57% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 43%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.62 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.50 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Cracovia Krakow 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 45%, draw 28%, Puszcza Niepolomice 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5
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