İskenderunspor A.Ş. 3-0 Denizlispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.89
Over 2.5
51%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-16.7pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.46
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Denizlispor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Denizlispor Denizlispor 1-2 HT 1-0 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
3-0
AWAY Denizlispor
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Denizlispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. swept aside Denizlispor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İskenderunspor A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had 50% of the ball to Denizlispor's 50%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Denizlispor?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 3-0 Denizlispor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Denizlispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskenderunspor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 53%, draw 27%, Denizlispor 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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