Arnavutköy Belediye 2-0 Fethiyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
31%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.00/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.69
-47% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fethiyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.12.2023 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 2-0 HT 2-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
2-0
AWAY Fethiyespor
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Fethiyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye got the better of Fethiyespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arnavutköy Belediye as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 37% of the ball to Fethiyespor's 63%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Fethiyespor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 2-0 Fethiyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Fethiyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 52%, draw 28%, Fethiyespor 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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