Kepez Belediyespor 2-3 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepez Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.97/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+5% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kepez Belediyespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.12.2023 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kepez Belediyespor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepez Belediyespor
2-3
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kepez Belediyespor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor squeezed past Kepez Belediyespor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kepez Belediyespor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kepez Belediyespor had 57% of the ball to Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Kepez Belediyespor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Kepez Belediyespor 2-3 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepez Belediyespor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kepez Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kepez Belediyespor 49%, draw 24%, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kepez Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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