Spartak Trnava 1-2 Slovan Bratislava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 21 Apr 2024

Spartak Trnava
1-2 HT 1-0
Slovan Bratislava
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Trnava v Slovan Bratislava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.19/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.93
-19% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
213 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.4 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 0.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
238 Passes 408
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
02.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
22.10.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
01.05.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLOVK
28.04.2023 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
02.04.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK

Spartak Trnava 1-2 Slovan Bratislava — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
1-2
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
0.66 xG 1.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
277 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava nicked a narrow win over Spartak Trnava 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovan Bratislava as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 41% of the ball to Slovan Bratislava's 59%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.66 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Slovan Bratislava.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?

Spartak Trnava 1-2 Slovan Bratislava in the Slovakia Super League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 32%, draw 27%, Slovan Bratislava 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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