Ajdovscina Skou 3-0 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajdovscina Skou EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.31/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.89
+38% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +90%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilirija
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
29.04.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
15.10.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
07.05.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 3-0 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ajdovscina Skou vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajdovscina Skou swept aside Ilirija 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajdovscina Skou as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ilirija led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ajdovscina Skou and 0.50 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Ajdovscina Skou vs Ilirija?

Ajdovscina Skou 3-0 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajdovscina Skou vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajdovscina Skou win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ajdovscina Skou 54%, draw 22%, Ilirija 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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