Maribor 3-0 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.25/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.26
+25% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Rogaska
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Rogaska Rogaska 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
28.10.2023 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
20.08.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 2-2 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-0
AWAY Rogaska
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor swept aside Rogaska 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Maribor had 63% of the ball to Rogaska's 37%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Rogaska?

Maribor 3-0 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Maribor 62%, draw 21%, Rogaska 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5
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