Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 HT 1-0
Deportivo Tachira
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.4pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Guaira v Deportivo Tachira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.50/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.90
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
20.5 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.35 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
426 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.06.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
20.05.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
23.07.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
25.11.2021 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 4-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.11.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN

Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Deportivo Tachira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.18 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 11
175 Passes 286
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Deportivo Tachira 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 40% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 60%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.18 to 1.63 — on chances, Deportivo Tachira could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.50 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 46%, draw 26%, Deportivo Tachira 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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