Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-11.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 50%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -19%
1.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.06
+36% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 82%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
16.0 Crosses 25.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
248 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
05.03.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
20.08.2022 Monagas Monagas 3-1 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
03.04.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-0
AWAY Monagas
1.86 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
258 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez edged past Monagas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hermanos Colmenarez found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 47% of the ball to Monagas's 53%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.86 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.50 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Monagas?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 37%, draw 28%, Monagas 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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