Dorchester Town 3-2 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
2.20/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.58
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Poole Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
26.12.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-6 HT 1-3 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
27.12.2021 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town edged past Poole Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorchester Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dorchester Town and 2.83 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Poole Town?

Dorchester Town 3-2 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 51%, draw 24%, Poole Town 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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