Poole Town 1-1 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.57/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.85
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +61%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorchester Town
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
26.12.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-6 HT 1-3 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
27.12.2021 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
30.08.2021 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town and Dorchester Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorchester Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Poole Town and 0.83 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Dorchester Town?

Poole Town 1-1 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 28%, draw 22%, Dorchester Town 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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