Leiston 7-2 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.1pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.74/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/3.26
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lowestoft Town
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2021 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 3-5 HT 1-3 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
30.08.2021 Leiston Leiston 4-2 HT 2-2 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston ran out comfortable winners over Lowestoft Town 7-2. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Leiston and 2.50 for Lowestoft Town.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Lowestoft Town?

Leiston 7-2 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leiston 42%, draw 32%, Lowestoft Town 25%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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